This Week in M&A Issue #226

Lauren Buchanan March 2, 2026

TWIMA #226

Hello!

Today’s trend of the week is “cat furniture”.  🐈

In 2023, 40 million households had at least one cat. In 2024, that jumped to 49 million, a 23% increase, according to the American Pet Products Association. At the same time, owners are spending more on pets they see as part of their family.

And they no longer want ugly beige carpeted cat trees or flimsy cardboard scratchers. Today’s cat owners want furniture that actually looks good in their homes.

Searches for “cat furniture” are up 45% over the last year, hitting 320,000 monthly searches. “Cat scratcher” is up 18%  with 169,000 monthly searches, and  “catios” are up 20%.

To claw your way into this market, focus on premium, design-led products that double as home décor rather than basic pet gear. Niching down into specific angles like small-space solutions or luxury statement pieces can help you stand out, too.

Today we have for you:

  • Half of U.S. eCommerce now runs on Amazon and Shopify
  • eBay buys Depop from Etsy for $1.2 billion

And:

  • How Google Discover chooses what content to show
  • Real-world lessons in acquisitions and deal-making
  • 5 biggest mistakes that kill online business acquisitions

Alright, let’s dive in.

eCommerce

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Image Source: Giphy (JanetMac)

 

Amazon and Shopify Close In on Majority Share of U.S. eCommerce…For Now

Amazon and Shopify now control nearly half of the U.S. eCommerce market.

In 2025, Amazon generated around $440 billion in U.S. sales, capturing 35.7% of the $1.2 trillion market, while Shopify reported a 14% share, up from 12% the previous year. Together, they account for 49.7% of all U.S. eCommerce, up from 43% in 2021.

The two giants have very different approaches to online retail. Amazon’s model is a centralized marketplace where buyers interact with the platform, not individual sellers. Shopify, by contrast, powers millions of independent storefronts, giving merchants full control over branding, customer relationships, and direct sales.

While Amazon shoppers rarely see the individual sellers, Shopify’s model aggregates merchant sales to show its platform-level scale, a growing industry-accepted measure of infrastructure influence. Shopify’s global GMV of $378 billion now reaches 66% of Amazon’s third-party marketplace volume, up from just 25% in 2018.

Despite their growth, the remaining half of U.S. eCommerce is fiercely contested. Walmart remains the only major competitor to Amazon at scale, though its $10 billion marketplace is far smaller. eBay’s GMV is $39.1 billion, TikTok Shop reached $15.1 billion, and Temu and Shein operate in the low-price segment with limited impact.

But this could all change dramatically in the next few years.

A recent industry report suggests that TikTok Shop is projected to rank among the top three global retailers by 2030, generating around $1 trillion in annual sales and capturing about 14% of global marketplace share. If that happens, Walmart could fall to fifth place, becoming the only top-five company still operating primarily through physical stores.

TikTok Shop’s growth is striking. In 2025, it generated billions in gross merchandise value, putting it within reach of legacy marketplaces like eBay on a quarterly basis. Globally, TikTok hosts around 15 million sellers. In the U.S., seller registrations have jumped roughly 5,000% since 2023, from a few thousand to over 475,000 shops by mid-2025. TikTok now has over one billion monthly active users worldwide.

Big changes are coming to eCommerce, so entrepreneurs need to stay agile and avoid becoming platform-dependent.

The Opportunity podcast

Real World Lessons in Acquisitions and Deal Making With Paul Lajoie [Ep.207] (1)

Acquisition Lessons From a 25-Time Business Buyer

Paul Lajoie has acquired 25 businesses in the last two decades. He’s also started four businesses from scratch.

His success rate buying businesses? 92%.
Starting from scratch? 25%.

In this episode of The Opportunity Podcast, Paul breaks down why acquisitions have dramatically outperformed startups in his career and what most entrepreneurs get wrong about buying businesses.

We discuss:

✅ How Paul evaluates businesses before making an offer
✅ Why seller financing can unlock better deals
✅ Due diligence red flags many buyers miss
✅ Why diversification is critical for long-term wealth

One of the biggest takeaways: deal structure often matters more than price.

If you’re an online business owner thinking about buying a business or growing your existing portfolio, this conversation is packed with real-world insights straight from the trenches.

eCommerce

Etsy Makes $400 Million Loss Selling Depop to eBay for $1.2 Billion in Cash

eBay Inc. is acquiring Depop, the mobile-first secondhand fashion marketplace, from Etsy, Inc. for roughly $1.2 billion in cash.

Depop’s marketplace had about 7 million active buyers and 3 million sellers at the end of 2025, with nearly 90% of buyers under 34. The platform drove roughly $1 billion in gross merchandise sales last year and saw strong growth, especially in the U.S.

At a glance, this looks like routine marketplace consolidation. It is more strategic than that.

Etsy bought Depop in 2021 for $1.625 billion. Selling it for $1.2 billion represents roughly a $400 million loss. For Etsy, the sale is about refocusing. Depop never fully aligned with Etsy’s core marketplace or margin profile. Rather than continue investing management time and capital, Etsy is taking liquidity and concentrating on its primary platform.

For eBay, the move addresses a structural issue. eBay’s user base skews older. Its strength has long been collectibles, parts, and hard-to-find inventory. It has struggled to win younger consumers, particularly those aged 18 to 24 who spend time on social platforms.

Depop changes that dynamic. Around 90% of its 7 million active buyers are under 34. The platform is built around social discovery and peer-to-peer fashion resale. Acquiring Depop gives eBay immediate access to a younger customer base and a defensible position in secondhand fashion.

But the acquisition isn’t without integration risk. Depop operates more like a social network with commerce built in. eBay is optimized for search, structured listings, and standardized processes. If eBay forces Depop into legacy systems too aggressively, user engagement could suffer.

The outcome will depend on whether eBay can add operational depth without diluting the community and culture that made Depop valuable.

Read All About It!

🎯 The 10 best PPC Ad networks: decide where to invest your budget

🏷️ A guide to sale multiples for 2026: for SaaS, media, eCommerce, & agencies

🚀 How Tyler Denk grew Beehiiv to $1M in 12 months: step by step

🧾 Tax prep for eCommerce: properly file your business tax returns

🔥Top trending topics for February 2026: trending topics in the US right now

YouTube

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Don’t Let These Mistakes Derail Your Business Purchase

Buyers obviously want the best deal when looking for a business to buy, but all too often, they get in their own way.

In our latest YouTube video, Greg breaks down the 5 big mistakes buyers make that can cost them a lot of money, or worse, cost them the acquisition entirely.

From over-leveraging and skipping working capital to moving too slowly in due diligence, not being adaptable, and neglecting post-acquisition planning, these common missteps can derail even the smartest buyers.

Watch now to learn how to avoid these risks and increase your chances of a successful acquisition.

Google

How Google Discover Ranks Content for Users

Wondering why your site doesn’t show up in Google Discover?

New SDK findings have revealed how Google Discover decides what content to show and why some pages never surface in the feed.

Google Discover is not a random carousel of trending content. It’s a structured pipeline with multiple checkpoints that a page must pass before it ever gets ranked or shown. The system first evaluates eligibility, and if your page fails early filters, it never reaches the ranking stage.

The pipeline includes: crawling and interpreting your content, reading key metadata like the title and image, categorizing the type of content, checking for blocks, matching to user interests, estimating the likelihood of a click, building the feed, delivering it, and then collecting feedback.

A few key takeaways from the research:

Hard filters happen first
If a user has blocked your site, the system will never rank your content for them. This block occurs before any interest matching or click‑prediction work begins.

Ranking isn’t search ranking
Discover uses a server‑side click‑prediction model to estimate how likely a user is to click your content. Signals include your page’s title, the quality and size of your images, content freshness, historical engagement, and whether images successfully load.

Fresh content wins
Pages between 1 and 7 days old get the strongest reach, with visibility declining as content ages. There is a separate classification for evergreen pieces, but newer content generally gets priority.

Images and metadata matter
Without an image, your page won’t get a Discover card. To earn prominent placements, you need images at least 1200px wide. The system reads multiple meta tags, and missing or restrictive tags can block entry altogether.

Experimentation causes variability
Google runs hundreds of experiments at once, so similar users can see very different feeds. Discover can also reorder content in real time as someone scrolls.

Essentially, success in Discover depends on meeting strict eligibility checks, prioritizing strong visuals and clear titles, and maintaining ongoing user engagement rather than trying to “optimize” for Discover-like search.

Money Nomad

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Looking for a side hustle?

Try Money Nomad, our sister marketplace built specifically for profitable side hustles and micro-businesses that are too small for Empire Flippers.

Check out this recent listing available on the Money Nomad Marketplace:

Listing #10058 – $27,000.00

YouTube | Lifestyle

The channel produces in-depth, educational, and entertainment-focused content centered on a specific luxury market. The content is evergreen and serves an excellent audience demographic (primarily male ages 35+) who have strong purchasing power, making the traffic valuable to potential advertisers and partners. Currently the only revenue source is YouTube ads, which provides easy growth levers for a new owner. Learn More

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