This Week in M&A Issue #222
Happy Friday! 🎉
Today’s trend of the week is “children’s skincare”.
Kids are trading toys for toners.
Thanks to TikTok, children as young as eight are experimenting with skin care routines, mimicking influencers with their own GRWM (Get Ready With Me) style videos.
Sephora reports that over the past five years, the number of customers aged 9–12 has doubled, fueling demand for kid-friendly cleansers, toners, and serums. Globally, the children’s cosmetics market is already worth around $1.6 billion, with social media nudging kids into beauty earlier than ever before.
The beauty-for-babies trend isn’t without controversy. Parents, dermatologists, and online commentators debate whether these products are unnecessary or even harmful. Brands need to clearly identify the line between exploiting curiosity and offering safe, gentle alternatives that satisfy kids’ interests while protecting their delicate skin.
Today we have for you:
- TikTok Shop forces US sellers to abandon independent shipping
-
MoltBot: The AI Assistant developers love, and security experts fear
And:
- Amazon overhauls Sponsored Brands with AI and bigger product collections
- SEO in the age of AI: What still works and what doesn’t
- U.S. eCommerce orders surged 147% in 2025
Alright, let’s dive in.
eCommerce
TikTok is now owned by a new, majority U.S.-owned company that will take control of the app’s American operations.
The good news is that this means TikTok Shop merchants can continue selling without worrying that the platform will be banned. The bad news is that TikTok Shop is making a major change to how orders are shipped in the United States.
In an email sent to merchants last week, TikTok Shop announced it will begin phasing out independent fulfillment on February 25, with full enforcement by March 31. Sellers who currently ship orders from their own warehouses or through independent 3PL providers will no longer be able to do so.
Under the new rules, all orders must be handled through Fulfilled by TikTok, Upgraded TikTok Shipping, Collections by TikTok, or a small list of TikTok-approved ERP and shipping systems. Tools such as AfterShip, 4Seller, and ShipHero will still be allowed, but only if they are fully integrated with TikTok’s logistics ecosystem. Sellers that fail to make the transition risk losing access to TikTok Shop’s roughly 170 million U.S. users.
The change brings TikTok Shop closer to Amazon’s Fulfilled by Amazon model and marks a major departure from the flexibility sellers have had since TikTok Shop launched in the U.S. in 2023.
The change also has major implications for third-party logistics providers. Many 3PLs operate on their own warehouse and shipping systems, which are no longer permitted unless they rapidly integrate with TikTok’s approved technology. Providers now face a tough choice between investing in new systems or exiting TikTok Shop fulfillment altogether.
For sellers, the impact is immediate and disruptive. Brands working with non-approved 3PLs may need to move inventory, switch warehouse partners, or adopt new software on an extremely tight timeline. Industry experts warn that these types of fulfillment migrations typically take months, not weeks.
Concerns are already surfacing. Some merchants report past issues with Fulfilled by TikTok, including shipping delays, warehouse errors, and limited support. Others worry about higher costs and the challenge of managing viral demand when inventory stored with TikTok can only be used for TikTok orders.
With little clarity on pricing and limited time to adapt, the coming weeks will be critical in determining whether TikTok Shop remains a viable and profitable channel for many sellers.
The Opportunity podcast
AEO, GEO, and SEO: How AI Is Really Changing Search
Everyone is rushing to “optimize for AI.” Most are doing it wrong.
In the latest episode of The Opportunity Podcast, Tim Soulo, the Chief Marketing Officer at Ahrefs, joins us to cut through the noise around AEO and GEO and explains why business owners are massively overcomplicating what visibility really means today.
We cover:
• How SEO compares to AEO and GEO
• Why creating content for AI first is a mistake
• How to update your existing content to increase AI visibility
• When AI can actually help you rank faster
• Why traditional SEO isn’t going away
If you want a practical, hype-free take on AI and SEO, check out the full podcast episode here.
AI
Introducing Moltbot: The Internet’s Most Talked-About AI Assistant
A quirky lobster has become the unlikely face of the latest AI craze.
Moltbot was previously known as Clawdbot (and now might be called OpenClaw according to its updated homepage). It’s a personal AI assistant that went viral just weeks after launch, attracting thousands of curious developers and tech enthusiasts. Despite a forced name change following a legal challenge from Anthropic, the project’s crustacean branding and growing fanbase remain intact.
Moltbot markets itself as “the AI that actually does things.” Unlike typical chatbots, it is designed to take real actions, such as managing calendars, sending messages through apps, or checking users in for flights. That hands-on promise is what fueled its rapid rise, even though installing and running it requires significant technical know-how.
Early adopters see Moltbot as a glimpse into the future of AI agents that can move beyond conversation and actually get work done. This enthusiasm helped the project rack up more than 44,000 GitHub stars in a short time. The buzz even spilled into financial markets, with Cloudflare’s stock briefly jumping after social media attention highlighted its role in hosting the infrastructure developers use to run Moltbot locally.
Still, Moltbot remains firmly in early adopter territory. While it is open source and runs on a user’s own machine rather than in the cloud, its ability to execute commands introduces serious security risks. Experts warn that malicious messages or prompt injection attacks could potentially trigger unintended actions.
For now, safe use requires careful setup and often running Moltbot on a separate server with limited access. That trade-off between usefulness and security means it is best suited for experienced users.
Even so, Moltbot has already demonstrated what autonomous AI assistants might soon be capable of, shifting the conversation from impressive demos to practical, if still risky, utility.
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Amazon
Sponsored Brands gets an AI upgrade with expanded product collections
Amazon is moving forward with a major shift in how Sponsored Brands product collections work, replacing the current format with an AI-powered version starting January 28, 2026.
Here’s what’s changing.
First, advertisers can now feature between three and ten products in a single ad. Previously, the format was capped at just three ASINs. This gives brands more room to showcase a broader catalog, bundle related products, or highlight variations without spinning up multiple campaigns. Older campaigns with one or two products can keep running, but you will not be able to add new ad groups to them.
Second, Amazon is leaning harder into AI. You can let Amazon automatically choose which products show up based on what shoppers are searching for, or you can still pick the products yourself if you want tighter control. That option matters if margins, inventory, or product positioning are important to your strategy.
Third, product details are now front and center in the ad. Shoppers can see key info right away, making it easier to compare and buy without extra clicks.
Finally, one of the biggest changes is what’s no longer required. Advertisers no longer need to create a custom image or write a headline. Amazon is removing custom creative entirely, which makes it much easier to spin up campaigns, especially if design has always been your bottleneck.
Over the past year, Amazon has been moving away from hands-on campaign setup and toward AI making more of the decisions. Sponsored Brands collections are another step in that direction, with automated product selection and a more standardized ad format.
These changes make it easier and faster to launch campaigns, but they also leave less room for branding and custom messaging. In the end, it comes down to results. As advertisers start testing the new format, performance will decide whether the AI-driven approach is better than the more manual options it replaces.
ecommerce
eCommerce Orders Soar, But Growth Benefits Only the Top Brands
U.S. eCommerce orders surged 147% in 2025, but the gains were heavily concentrated among a small group of top-performing brands, according to new data from Omnisend.
While rising costs and tighter household budgets didn’t stop Americans from shopping, they changed how and where consumers spent their money. Omnisend’s analysis of 150,000 online retailers found that the top 5% of brands captured 54% of total order growth, highlighting the intense competition and growing inequality in the online retail space.
Shoppers are engaging less frequently with marketing, but when they do, they are more likely to buy and spend more. The likelihood of a purchase after clicking a promotion rose 51% compared to 2024, while average order value jumped 22%.
The secret to success was not sending more emails, but sending smarter ones. Behavior-based automated emails, for example, accounted for just 1.7% of total emails but drove 25% of total email revenue. “People were still willing to spend, but they were much more intentional about where they spent their money,” said Marty Bauer, eCommerce expert at Omnisend. “Brands that reacted quickly to customer behavior had a clear advantage, while others struggled to keep up.”
Consumer studies show this intentionality is widespread. A June 2025 report from Lightspeed Commerce found 92% of shoppers considered themselves at least somewhat intentional, with 40% identifying as very intentional. At the same time, online shopping experiences still have room to improve. A 2025 Criteo study revealed that more than three in four consumers view eCommerce as functional but not fun.
For sellers, success in 2026 won’t come from blasting promotions or chasing volume. It will come from understanding shoppers, engaging them meaningfully, and creating online experiences that are both relevant and enjoyable.
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